benji wrote:To go back to another thing I harp on, I still think you have to really look at the information you had at the time.
There were concerns about Oden's knees (and age) but I don't think anyone thought he'd basically never play. I mean DeJuan Blair had known worse knees at the time and he's been fine.
If Oden played ten seasons at even the level of his rookie season there'd still be talk about it being a blunder taking him before Durant but nobody would call him a bust. If he played like his 20 games or whatever in the second season he'd be on a bunch of All-Star teams, the Blazers would win 60 games a bunch of times (until Roy retired anyway) and you'd have a real debate about whether he was the best pick in the draft. In comparison Olowokandi did play like ten seasons, got tons of minutes and he's an obvious bust.
You could try something like saying in hindsight the pick was a bust, the Blazers should have taken Durant, but then the Sonics would have taken Oden and then their pick would be a bust as they should have taken Horford, etc.[b] And then you can say Oden isn't a bust and has just had his career derailed.
The favorite comparison of Sam Bowie doesn't work because even when healthy Bowie was never as good as Oden, just solid. (Which gets you into all these hypotheticals about what if he's not always coming back from injuries maybe he develops into a 20/10 guy with 5 blocks, blah blah blah around and around we go.)
Yes, his career was derailed by forces outside of his control. Does that make him any less of a bust? I don't think so. For one, I don't think you can separate the injuries from the overall judgment of him,
as a basketball player. Injuries are a part of sports. A good athlete is not just one who can perform now and then, but consistently. Having the physical stamina, conditioning, and genetic makeup to avoid injury are important factors in the overall judgment of a player, and you can bet that NBA scouts are looking at this.
I think the injuries make him even more of a bust than other #1's who have failed to deliver. This guy was never cut out for the NBA, period. His knees were already gone by the time he got here. The only thing he has contributed is a picture of his dick.