by jonthefon on Wed Jun 17, 2009 10:31 pm
Overall, this draft lacks potential superstars (even Griffin might not be one), but it's filled to the brim with solid players and need fillers. My long thoughts:
Blake Griffin-Won't be a superstar, but depending on how his athleticism and physicality matches up against NBA forwards, I think he could put up solid 18/9 lines.
Hasheem Thabeet-Really not very high on him. Not at all. If he develops one reliable post move, he could become a solid player but won't be an All-Star...maybe a Mutombo-lite.
James Harden-Apparently stock went up a little (was going to be top-5 anyway) because he showed a little increased athleticism. Great scorer all over the court, a lot peg him as Manu Ginobili or a left-handed Brandon Roy, crafty at getting his points and not a defensive liability.
Jordan Hill-His offensive game is still kinda raw even though he made improvements last season for Arizona. Still, he's super-athletic, rebounds very well and runs the floor. I'm a fan of his upside but his offensive tools will determine where he goes in this league. Rumours that the Mavs are going for him by dealing with Washington: I don't like them giving up Howard or Terry for him though.
Rubio-I think he's overhyped. I'm willing to have humble pie next to me if he proves me wrong. But I want to see how he adjusts to the NBA and how his offense develops. Still, his basketball IQ and vision is top-notch.
Brandon Jennings-I just think that the European game just didn't suit his. He's got terrific scoring ability and that probably conflicted with the fundamentals of the Euroleague. Those stats shouldn't cloud anything about his talent. That's why you should study for tests, kids. I think he'd be much more lauded if he played the college game where space is allowed for the scorers.
DeMar DeRozan-Big, big fan of him. Youtube him: some of his dunks are jaw-dropping, and he's got a decent shot which should keep moving on up. He's still got a ways to go on both ends but I think whoever gets him past No.5 will have made a strong pick.
Stephen Curry-He feels like one of those better bench sparkplugs to me. He'll probably never hold down a true starter's spot because of his height, but he could be a terrific sixth man (think Leandro Barbosa with less speed with a little more honed elsewhere).
Jonny Flynn-He went flying up draft boards after a strong Big East tournament and then brilliant workouts. Got a lot going for him: athleticism, wheels, work-ethic, passion and a fair jumpshot that could get better. I'm still worried about his height just like every other 6-foot point guard, but there are guys like Aaron Brooks out there who will succeed.
Jrue Holiday-Struggled in a UCLA system playing off the ball with Darren Collison, but again, it shouldn't undermine his talent. I think he's a complete package: might still need some development to make up for time lost, but he's got tools at both ends, he's probably top-10 material.
Earl Clark-I'm a seriously big fan of his (a sucker for big men who can handle and shoot the ball like he can). I salivate at his talent, but he needs to get better at creating his own shot and focusing on taking good looks rather than the fadeaways he employed in college.
Jeff Teague-I would love to see the Mavs get him. But his stock went up in the combine after a poor tournament game, and he's back in the 10-15 range. He's explosive and a great finisher at the rim, and his jumpshot is useful but somewhat erratic. Either way, I like him as a slashing point.
Tyreke Evans-I think smooth everytime, and of course that's Larry Hughes' shitty nickname apart from Brick-a-thon. But he looks a capable scorer getting to the rim, with good enough handles to be a point guard, and long enough to give trouble on D. His shot release is awkward as hell though.
Ty Lawson-If he develops a more consistent shot (decent one already) and adjusts to running an NBA offense (he was given the green light on the fast break at Chapel Hill), he could become a very good player. I wonder whether he can still get to the rim and finish in the NBA.
Wayne Ellington-Great shooter, possibly the best in the first round next to Curry. But like a lot of college shooter types, might not be able to create his own shot in the NBA with his average athleticism.
Tyler Hansbrough-Is this not the undoubted Utah pick? Perfect fit for Jerry's system.
Terrence Williams-a lot of mocks have the Mavs taking him. I like him for his athleticism and a nice all-round game, sorta reminds me of Josh Howard. I'm not sold on intangibles but hey, there are those who have turned it around after an iffy reputation in college. If the Mavs handle him well by starting him by building his game around hustle, I think he can work into a solid all-round NBA player.
Darren Collison-one of my favourite players in the draft. Might go late first, most likely early second. I think he's a sure-thing type as a backup PG. Terrific perimeter defender, pretty quick, can run an offence, can shoot the three-ball. I'm a fan.
Dionte Christmas-I like him as a sleeper early second-round. I like his shooting stroke and the shot is reliable, his shot selection is generally good. I think he could become a very useful scorer off the bench.
Patrick Mills-Come on, I love the guy as an Aussie and he's incredibly quick, but I keep getting scared off by short-man's disease. I'd like to see him play one more year at St Mary's and work on his jumpshot and shot selection.