NLSC Football pick'em challenge (wk 8 up)

[[Q]]

alright i dunno how many American football fans we got here, but i'm gonna start a prediction league. it works like traditional sports betting with a spread and everything. most correct picks wins a week. tie breaker is the person closest to the Monday Night score. most total correct picks at the end of the season gets a special prize. tie breaker for that will be most weekly wins.

[[Q]]

here's a template for week 3:

Favorite/spread/Underdog
@Baltimore/-8/Arizona
Carolina/-3.5/@Atlanta
@Chicago/-3/Dallas
@Denver/-3/Jacksonville
Indianapolis/-6/@Houston
@Kansas City/-3/Minnesota
@New England/-16.5/Buffalo
@NY Jets/-3/Miami
@Oakland/-3/Cleveland
@Philadelphia/-6/Detroit
@Pittsburgh/-9/San Francisco
San Diego/-5/@Green Bay
@Seattle/-3/Cincinnati
@Tampa Bay/-3.5/St. Louis
@Washington/-3.5/NY Giants

Monday, Sep 24
@New Orleans/-4/Tennessee

MNF Score:
--------------------------------
my picks
@Baltimore/-8/Arizona
Carolina/-3.5/@Atlanta
@Chicago/-3/Dallas
@Denver/-3/Jacksonville
Indianapolis/-6/@Houston
@Kansas City/-3/Minnesota
@New England/-16.5/Buffalo
@NY Jets/-3/Miami
@Oakland/-3/Cleveland
@Philadelphia/-6/Detroit
@Pittsburgh/-9/San Francisco
San Diego/-5/@Green Bay
@Seattle/-3/Cincinnati
@Tampa Bay/-3.5/St. Louis
@Washington/-3.5/NY Giants

Monday, Sep 24
@New Orleans/-4/Tennessee
MNF Score: 45

any questions, just ask.

[dan_suth]

@Baltimore/-8/Arizona
Carolina/-3.5/@Atlanta
@Chicago/-3/Dallas
@Denver/-3/Jacksonville
Indianapolis/-6/@Houston
@Kansas City/-3/Minnesota
@New England/-16.5/Buffalo
@NY Jets/-3/Miami
@Oakland/-3/Cleveland
@Philadelphia/-6/Detroit
@Pittsburgh/-9/San Francisco
San Diego/-5/@Green Bay
@Seattle/-3/Cincinnati
@Tampa Bay/-3.5/St. Louis
@Washington/-3.5/NY Giants

Monday, Sep 24
@New Orleans/-4/Tennessee
MNF Score: 37

[JT_55]

Suggestion: Why don't we put some "fake money" (or weigh the games) into this so we can put more on the ones we are sure about and less about the borderline calls?

Are we allowed to give opinions on them?

@Baltimore/-8/Arizona
Carolina/-3.5/@Atlanta
@Chicago/-3/Dallas
@Denver/-3/Jacksonville
Indianapolis/-6/@Houston
@Kansas City/-3/Minnesota
@New England/-16.5/Buffalo
@NY Jets/-3/Miami
@Oakland/-3/Cleveland
@Philadelphia/-6/Detroit
@Pittsburgh/-9/San Francisco
San Diego/-5/@Green Bay
@Seattle/-3/Cincinnati
@Tampa Bay/-3.5/St. Louis
@Washington/-3.5/NY Giants

Monday, Sep 24
@New Orleans/-4/Tennessee

MNF Score: 42

[dan_suth]

nvm

[Anthony15]

Favorite/spread/Underdog
@Baltimore/-8/Arizona
Carolina/-3.5/@Atlanta
@Chicago/-3/Dallas
@Denver/-3/Jacksonville
Indianapolis/-6/@Houston
@Kansas City/-3/Minnesota
@New England/-16.5/Buffalo
@NY Jets/-3/Miami
@Oakland/-3/Cleveland
@Philadelphia/-6/Detroit
@Pittsburgh/-9/San Francisco
San Diego/-5/@Green Bay
@Seattle/-3/Cincinnati
@Tampa Bay/-3.5/St. Louis
@Washington/-3.5/NY Giants

Monday, Sep 24
@New Orleans/-4/Tennessee

MNF Score: 52

[JT_55]

I just realized that 13/16 of my picks are the same as Anthony's, 12 are the same as Qballer's, and 11 of them are the same as dan suth's.

[[Q]]

Are we allowed to give opinions on them?

sure why not...

imo, I think the Tampa game is pretty solid. they've been a really good team so far in the season against a pretty shaky STL team.
The NE 16.5 pt spread is ridiculous but the team's been on fire so I expect them to cover.


oh and one more thing. any posts/edits after the games have started will be disqualified.

[JT_55]

Well, NE won by a landslide over a good Chargers squad. No reason they're not gonna do it against the (imo) crappy Bills. If the spread was like, -30, I'll take Buffalo.

oh and one more thing. any posts/edits after the games have started will be disqualified.

Duh. Wait, aren't mods allowed to edit other people posts without leaving a mark? Oh well, have to trust you on this one.

RE-POST EDIT: Hey, what happens if the there is a tie after the spread is counted? Indy won 30-24, and the spread is -6.

[JT_55]

Hey, Qballer, aren't you gonna post the results? Even the MNF's done.

[[Q]]

list of winning picks

ARI
CAR
DAL
JAC
IND/HOU push
KC/MIN push
NE
NYJ/MIA push
CLE
PHI
PIT
GB
SEA/CIN push
TB
NYG

Monday, Sep 24
TEN


results (win-loss-tie) [tiebreaker score]
MNF score: 45
Anthony15- 6-6-4 [52]
JT_55- 6-6-4 [42]
dan_suth- 6-6-4 [37]
Qballer- 6-6-4 [45]

a 4 way tie this week but I got the score on the dot so I get the weekly win.

leaderboard
1. Qballer- 6-6-4 (wk 3 win)
2. Anthony15- 6-6-4
2. JT_55- 6-6-4
2. dan_suth- 6-6-4

Week 4:
Baltimore/-4/@Cleveland
@Carolina/-3/Tampa Bay
Chicago/-3/@Detroit
@Dallas/-13/St. Louis
Green Bay/-1.5/@Minnesota
Houston/-3/-@Atlanta
@Indianapolis/-9.5/Denver
@Miami/-4/Oakland
NY Jets/-3.5/@Buffalo
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Giants
Pittsburgh/-6/@Arizona
@San Diego/-11.5/Kansas City
Seattle/-2/@San Francisco

Monday, Oct 1
New England/-7/@Cincinnati
MNF score:

My picks:
Baltimore/-4/@Cleveland
@Carolina/-3/Tampa Bay
Chicago/-3/@Detroit
@Dallas/-13/St. Louis
Green Bay/-1.5/@Minnesota
Houston/-3/-@Atlanta
@Indianapolis/-9.5/Denver
@Miami/-4/Oakland
NY Jets/-3.5/@Buffalo
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Giants
Pittsburgh/-6/@Arizona
@San Diego/-11.5/Kansas City
Seattle/-2/@San Francisco

Monday, Oct 1
New England/-7/@Cincinnati
MNF score: 53

and uh in case get some crazy tie again this week, i'll reitterate that picking the same MNF score is not allowed. so check the other picks to make sure you aren't taking the same number.

[[Q]]

i'd have to say that was a great call on Tennessee, dan suth. and who knew Philly would go off that that

i think NE over Cinci is the easiest pick this week. and Dallas -13 is pretty solid as well.

[JT_55]

Week 4:
Baltimore/-4/@Cleveland
@Carolina/-3/Tampa Bay
Chicago/-3/@Detroit
@Dallas/-13/St. Louis
Green Bay/-1.5/@Minnesota
Houston/-3/-@Atlanta
@Indianapolis/-9.5/Denver
@Miami/-4/Oakland
NY Jets/-3.5/@Buffalo
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Giants
Pittsburgh/-6/@Arizona
@San Diego/-11.5/Kansas City
Seattle/-2/@San Francisco

Monday, Oct 1
New England/-7/@Cincinnati
MNF score:55

[Anthony15]

Week 4:
Baltimore/-4/@Cleveland
@Carolina/-3/Tampa Bay
Chicago/-3/@Detroit
@Dallas/-13/St. Louis
Green Bay/-1.5/@Minnesota
Houston/-3/-@Atlanta
@Indianapolis/-9.5/Denver
@Miami/-4/Oakland
NY Jets/-3.5/@Buffalo
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Giants
Pittsburgh/-6/@Arizona
@San Diego/-11.5/Kansas City
Seattle/-2/@San Francisco

Monday, Oct 1
New England/-7/@Cincinnati
MNF score: 48

[dan_suth]

i'd have to say that was a great call on Tennessee, dan suth.

yeah, but my 'locks' were Minnesota, Denver, and St. Louis... so I still feel pretty dumb

Week 4:
Baltimore/-4/@Cleveland
@Carolina/-3/Tampa Bay
Chicago/-3/@Detroit (not being too much of a homer, it's just... Brian Griese is starting for Chicago )
@Dallas/-13/St. Louis
Green Bay/-1.5/@Minnesota
Houston/-3/-@Atlanta
@Indianapolis/-9.5/Denver
@Miami/-4/Oakland
NY Jets/-3.5/@Buffalo
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Giants
Pittsburgh/-6/@Arizona
@San Diego/-11.5/Kansas City
Seattle/-2/@San Francisco

Monday, Oct 1
New England/-7/@Cincinnati
MNF score: 47

The ones I feel 100% confident about are Baltimore -4, Green Bay -1.5, and Detroit +3. I'd put all my money on Green Bay covering, though. Even though it's at Minnesota, I just can't see how the Packers are only giving 1.5 points when they are 3-0 and Minnesota is easily one of the weakest teams in the league. I don't feel so good about taking New England, but it's the "safe" pick. I can see Cincinnati putting up 28 points on them out of nowhere.

[JT_55]

But Rudi Johnson's missing in action Sunday, might that affect them?

Oh yeah, I think the Packers definately cover the spread against Minny and then some...unless Brett returns to his 2005 form (please no, please no...)

[Anthony15]

Shitz, I frogot to give a result for Chicago v Detroit

[[Q]]

Week 5

Arizona/-3.5/@St. Louis
Baltimore/-3.5/@San Francisco
@Denver/-1.5/San Diego
@Green Bay/-3/Chicago
@Houston/-5.5/Miami
@Indianapolis/-10Tampa Bay
Jacksonville/-2/@Kansas City
@New England/-16.5/Cleveland
@New Orleans/-3/Carolina
@NY Giants/-3.5/NY Jets
@Pittsburgh/-5.5/Seattle
@Tennessee/-8.5/Atlanta
@Washington/-3.5/Detroit

Monday, Oct 8
Dallas/-10/@Buffalo

MNF score:

my picks:
Arizona/-3.5/@St. Louis
Baltimore/-3.5/@San Francisco
@Denver/-1.5/San Diego
@Green Bay/-3/Chicago
@Houston/-5.5/Miami
@Indianapolis/-10/Tampa Bay
Jacksonville/-2/@Kansas City
@New England/-16.5/Cleveland
@New Orleans/-3/Carolina
@NY Giants/-3.5/NY Jets
@Pittsburgh/-5.5/Seattle
@Tennessee/-8.5/Atlanta
@Washington/-3.5/Detroit

Monday, Oct 8
Dallas/-10/@Buffalo

MNF score:44

i will post updated leaderboard later.

[dan_suth]

Week 5

Arizona/-3.5/@St. Louis
Baltimore/-3.5/@San Francisco
@Denver/-1.5/San Diego
@Green Bay/-3/Chicago
@Houston/-5.5/Miami
@Indianapolis/-10Tampa Bay
Jacksonville/-2/@Kansas City
@New England/-16.5/Cleveland
@New Orleans/-3/Carolina
@NY Giants/-3.5/NY Jets
@Pittsburgh/-5.5/Seattle
@Tennessee/-8.5/Atlanta
@Washington/-3.5/Detroit

Monday, Oct 8
Dallas/-10/@Buffalo

MNF score:47

[Anthony15]

Week 5

Arizona/-3.5/@St. Louis
Baltimore/-3.5/@San Francisco
@Denver/-1.5/San Diego
@Green Bay/-3/Chicago
@Houston/-5.5/Miami
@Indianapolis/-10Tampa Bay
Jacksonville/-2/@Kansas City
@New England/-16.5/Cleveland
@New Orleans/-3/Carolina
@NY Giants/-3.5/NY Jets
@Pittsburgh/-5.5/Seattle
@Tennessee/-8.5/Atlanta
@Washington/-3.5/Detroit

Monday, Oct 8
Dallas/-10/@Buffalo

MNF score: 45

[JT_55]

Week 5

Arizona/-3.5/@St. Louis
Baltimore/-3.5/@San Francisco
@Denver/-1.5/San Diego
@Green Bay/-3/Chicago
@Houston/-5.5/Miami
@Indianapolis/-10/Tampa Bay
Jacksonville/-2/@Kansas City
@New England/-16.5/Cleveland
@New Orleans/-3/Carolina
@NY Giants/-3.5/NY Jets
@Pittsburgh/-5.5/Seattle
@Tennessee/-8.5/Atlanta
@Washington/-3.5/Detroit

Monday, Oct 8
Dallas/-10/@Buffalo

MNF score: 48

Finally the Packers get some respect. Looking forward to the XL rematch: hope the Seahawks can pull it off.

[Oznogrd]

can i join?
Week 5

Arizona/-3.5/@St. Louis (for gods sake its the rams, this years joke, they're going down)
Baltimore/-3.5/@San Francisco (Baltimore's D looks aged and ragged; they're in trouble)
@Denver/-1.5/San Diego (picked solely because i have rivers and LT in fantasy)
@Green Bay/-3/Chicago (Chicago, just not the same this year, Favre will eat them)
@Houston/-5.5/Miami (the expansion team finally got some talent, dont expect a huge score but the dolphins are so bad, Houston has to win)
@Indianapolis/-10Tampa Bay (is there even a question here?)
Jacksonville/-2/@Kansas City (KC is in a battle with the Rams and Miami for worst team in the NFL, Jags FTW)
@New England/-16.5/Cleveland (Brady+Moss=Super Bowl Bound)
@New Orleans/-3/Carolina (cant pick against my boys with deuce out and a struggling brees, Saints feel good story may be ending soon)
@NY Giants/-3.5/NY Jets (Its not that the giants are that good, its i expect pennington or his backup to throw at least 2 INTs that give eli and co a chance to score, always a mistake)
@Pittsburgh/-5.5/Seattle (Hasselbeck doesnt look nearly as good as he used to)
@Tennessee/-8.5/Atlanta (by some miracle vince young wins alot, at least enough to beat out a team so desperate they actually got Joey Harrington and Byron Leftwich picked up from FA's)
@Washington/-3.5/Detroit (sleeper pick, Jason Campbell, go back to college; this Washington team is just not that good, not to say detroit is, but they should win)

Monday, Oct 8
Dallas/-10/@Buffalo (Romo is going to decimate the Bills D)

[[Q]]

can i join?

sure.

i guess since you're behind 2 wks, I'll make the winner the one with the highest # of picks divided by the number of weeks they play.

[JT_55]

Is this dead? If it isn't, here are my picks:

(spread from http://www.sportspool.com/football/spreads/)

@Tampa Bay/-2.5/Tennessee
@Baltimore/-9.5/St. Louis
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Jets
@Chicago/-5.5/Minnesota
@Cleveland/-4.5/Miami
@Jacksonville/-6.5/Houston
Cincinnati/-3/@Kansas City
@Green Bay/-3/Washington
@Arizona/-4/Carolina
New England/Even/@Dallas
@San Diego/-10/Oakland
@Seattle/-7/New Orleans

(Edited Oct. 14 12:08 ET)
NY Giants/-3.5/@Atlanta
MNF Score: 42

[[Q]]

shit, thanks for doing that man. i've been down with the flu for the past couple of days.

@Tampa Bay/-2.5/Tennessee
@Baltimore/-9.5/St. Louis
Philadelphia/-3/@NY Jets
@Chicago/-5.5/Minnesota
@Cleveland/-4.5/Miami
@Jacksonville/-6.5/Houston
Cincinnati/-3/@Kansas City
@Green Bay/-3/Washington
@Arizona/-4/Carolina
New England/Even/@Dallas
@San Diego/-10/Oakland
@Seattle/-7/New Orleans
NY Giants/-3.5/@Atlanta

sorry for the delay, I hope you all get your picks in on time before 1PM ET/10 AM PT.