So ... the trade deadline has just past without any earthshattering deals. There were a few in the talks, such as McGrady-Carter, McGrady-Davis or even Shaq to Cleveland and all the Amare talk, but nothing materialised. The landscape of the NBA is pretty much the same as it was yesterday.
Question now is ... when will the tanking start? Lets break this down into the conferences.
Western Conference:
There are only 9 teams with chances to go to the playoffs, with Phoenix currently in ninth place in the West (even after the fireworks against the Clippers), half a game behind the Jazz.
Noone else below Phoenix has any chance whatsoever to reach the playoffs, even before the deadline. Now ... when will the Clippers, Thunder and Kings openly start tanking in order to position themselves for the draft? Memphis, Minny and Golden State are only marginally better .. when do they start mailing it in? They have nothing to play for right now and they haven't made any deals that would change their roster dramatically to make a run at 8th place (like Amare to Golden State for instance) ...
Eastern Conference:
Here it is a little more tricky. The most active team at the deadline, Chicago, is only 1 1/2 games out of 8th place anyway. Are they now able to just reach the post season or are they able to challenge Miami or Detroit for the 5th and 6th seeds?
Only Washington is clearly out of the race. The rest is still in the hunt, even Toronto ... but will teams in the East fight to the last day or the last mathematical chance, given the fact that the best draft position will be occupied by the bad Western teams anyway? Or will teams like Toronto and Indiana (especially with Granger now hurt) start the tanking sooner?
It will be an interesting stretch run and I think we will see a lot more teams openly tank than in recent seasons ... especially with the playoff situation in the West. But I'd also like to see Charlotte make a run for it for instance ...
Discuss!